BosGuy’s election predictions

While nobody knows for certain, my gut says Obama will pick up the necessary 270 electoral votes tomorrow. Moreover, I believe Democrats will retain their slim majority in the US Senate.  I base these “predictions” on the following:

– I believe the only true “swing” states are OH, VA, FL, CO, IA and NH.   States like WI, MI, PA, NM and NV have been called “swing states”,  but I disagree and think Obama will win all these states.

– If Obama wins WI, MI, PA, and NM as I suggest, he only needs to carry OH to win.  I do happen to believe Obama may also win VA and IA; making outcomes in CO, NH and FL irrelevant.

– There are more Senate Democrats running for reelection, but I believe the party is likely to only lose 3 seats:  MT, ND and NE.   Conversely I believe Democrats will likely pick up seats in CT and MA. The race in ME will likely be won by an Independent who will caucus with Democrats; offsetting the loss of 3 Senate seats.

– Should Romney carry VA, I’d assume Democrats would lose the Senate race netting them a loss of one seat, but I’m not ready to concede VA.  It also looks like Tommy Thompson might beat Tammy Baldwin in WI but Democrats would still retain a slim majority in the Senate.

For the benefit of all let me state the obvious 1) These are my own opinions based on what I’ve read and seen; 2) You are also entitled to your own opinion, but I don’t have to necessarily agree with you.